Gold price set for worst quarter in 13 years

Gold Bars Adobestock by couperfieldInflation concerns on uneven MidEast peace have wiped out this year's gold price gains. Credit: Adobe Stock by couperfield

Gold is on track for its worst quarter in 13 years as war-induced inflation concerns in recent weeks sent the metal on a downward spiral that took out its entire gains in 2026.

Spot prices are trading at just above $4,000 an oz., having plunged 15% over the past three months and 7.5% on the year. Earlier, it had dipped below that level — viewed as a key support — for the first time since early November.

The yellow metal is now heading towards its first quarterly decline since 2024, and its worst three-month performance since the June quarter of 2013.

Rollercoaster year

Bullion has gone through a rollercoaster ride this year, soaring to a record of nearly $5,600 an oz. in January followed by a massive selloff — its worst since the 1980s. An attempt at recovery was cut short by a months-long decline, as the U.S.-Iran conflict escalated into a regional war that sent energy prices higher, raising expectations of interest rate hikes globally and placing sustained pressure on gold.

With the inflationary worries lingering, investors are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s next moves — whether high price levels warrant a rate hike, which many are penciling in for December and may even begin as early as September.

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